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nomadic thoughts

ความคิดพเนจร - Кочевые Мысли - Pensées Nomades - الأفكار البدوية - Pensamentos Nómadas - 游牧理念

nomadic thoughts

ความคิดพเนจร - Кочевые Мысли - Pensées Nomades - الأفكار البدوية - Pensamentos Nómadas - 游牧理念

Iran set the rules, Israel trapped itself

by Luís Garcia

 

 

The Iran response to Israeli act of war against the Iranian Embassy in Damascus on April 1st made the rules of the game very clear. Besides, Iran once again set the example on how to behave righteously, with prudence, with respect to human life (even Israeli).

On one hand Iran informed US in advance and made the whole world know it was about to counter-strike Israel. In this fashion, Iran avoided the killing of Israeli individuals, not because it's unfair to kill Israelis, but because this behavior allows Iran (just like Russia with its SMO in Ukraine) to demonstrate to the real international community (the Global South) who is reasonable, who is human, who knows how to control escalation... and who is not or does not.

The rest of the world observes and takes notes. Iran did not attack Israel too hard, killing thousands Israelis because Iran does not accept and does not need to take the the perceived label of "aggressor". Iran will only react (not act) to each Israeli step in the escalation ladder with increasingly stronger counter-attacks, keeping its position of victim of aggression to the point that even the citizens of terrorist rogue states like France are starting to side with Iran, which helps to undermine the Israeli image, rhetoric and agenda. Furthermore, by acting in this fashion, Iran will be able to inflict the exact same destruction in Israel (reacting, not acting) without triggering a direct response from USA and its vassals, thus avoiding a world war.

 

On the other hand, the successful Iranian counter-strike trapped Israel in an unsolvable dilemma. Why? First let's look at the possible outcomes of this Iranian counterstrike:

1 - USA+Israel attack Iran - Ormuz strait will be closed, no oil and gas coming out of Middle East, which will lead to a global economy catastrophe; If the US uses its bases in Arab nation of the Persian Gulf, their oil industry will be destroyed. The US 40+ military bases and 45.000+ US soldiers in the Middle East will be targeted, destroyed and killed. ❌

2 - Israel alone attacks Iran - Iran counter-strikes for real. If Israel keeps reacting, Israel will feed a snowball effect, and the outcome will be the end of Israel, together with partial destruction of Iranian infrastructure. Pure math! Iran far bigger, it has far more cities, mountains, military targets, industrial targets, bunkers, people... ✅

3 - Israel does not attack Iran - the Israeli project is doomed, many double-nationality settlers will give up this genocidal colonial project and will go back to their real homes in faraway lands. ✅

 

First - Why can't US attack Iran? Because, on April 14th, just with a sample of her real power, Iran proved that it can exhaust Israeli air-defense systems. Furthermore, Iran proved that such efforts are worthless when it comes to intercept Iranian supersonic missiles. Israel, together with USA, France, UK, Jordan and Saudi Arabia couldn't stop these missiles. 15 hit the Israeli Nevatim airbase while 7 hit Ramon airbase, sending a clear message to the US: In case you attack US, this is what will happen to your legal and illegal military bases in the region. US can't handle the death of 3 servicemen, let alone 45.000+ deaths. Not to mention the economic global chaos the US is not willing to trigger, especially before US presidential elections.

That's precisely why even the Biden genocidal rogue regime immediately told Netanyahu the "the US will not participate in any counter-strike against Iran".

 

The military details of this Iranian response are indeed very telling. For instance, the perfect synchrony of drones, cruise missiles and ballistic missiles that have really different speeds, yet, arrived on the correct order and at the correct time. Or, the Iranian multi-headed missiles that forced the iron dome to react, to get exhausted, to make itself exposed, only to be attacked by the main shell that speed ups with busters. All these details tell US to be quiet, and Israel to give up. But well, for more details from real experts on the Iranian masterful response, please watch:

 

Second - Sure Israel is governed by people mad enough to strike Iranian soil. The problem for them is that, what applies to the US in point one, applies many fold to Israel.

The military and economic figures easily show that in a real conflict between Israel and Iran (and nobody else), Israel won't be able to keep the economic pace nor the military pace. Yet, Israel will probably do it. This is why Iran attacked just with a kind sample of what it can do. Iran does not need to be perceived as a deranged rogue state madly obliterating Israel. No, it just has to wait for Israel to trigger its own demise. If Israel strikes and counterstrikes, over and over, Israel will perish. The result is the same for Israel, it will be eventually wiped out as consequence of its own actions, but not the same for Iran, which can keep its position of reasonable wise victim of Israeli aggression.

 

The third is self-evident. The concept of Israel is a concept of perpetual aggression against its neighbors as the only way to keep alive a very artificial state that relies in forceful and illegal colonialism. If it does not fight, it will be emptied out from within.

Furthermore, the fact Israel acknowledges its weakness will motivate all non-state resistance forces to continue to attack and exhaust Israel until the liberation of Palestine.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All this said, we are only considering honest and reasonable views. As for the views of Western media and governments, not much to say about beyond this:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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